Skip to main content
Paul Welty, PhD AI, WORK, AND STAYING HUMAN

· artificial-intelligence

Bookmark: Rumors are swirling that OpenAI is on the brink of agi and asi

Bookmark: Rumors are swirling that OpenAI is on the brink of agi and asi

OpenAI may be nearing breakthroughs in AGI and ASI, with hints of self-improving models and industry anticipation for significant updates.

“We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it,” Altman said in a blog post recently, adding that OpenAI is already starting to look at superintelligence development.
Rumors are swirling that OpenAI is on the brink of AGI and ASI

OpenAI’s progress toward artificial general intelligence (AGI) and artificial superintelligence (ASI) remains uncertain amidst a series of recent developments. While OpenAI has not announced a significant ChatGPT upgrade, it has made strides with the release of the o1 reasoning model and advancements like the Sora text-to-video tool. However, challenges in training next-gen AI models reportedly delay their progress. CEO Sam Altman has convincingly spoken about the approach to AGI, envisioning AI capable of human-like tasks. The potential for ASI, surpassing human cognitive abilities, is also on OpenAI’s horizon, with recent enthusiasm among engineers hinting at a possible impending breakthrough.

AI researcher Gwern suggests that OpenAI might be on the brink of such advancements, possibly even having crossed a critical threshold in AI development. The theorized self-improving capabilities of models like o4 or o5 could automate AI research and development. However, despite the hopeful buzz, this speculation is unconfirmed as OpenAI continues its work behind closed doors, leaving questions about accessibility, affordability, and safety alignment unresolved. Despite this speculative landscape, the industry awaits forthcoming updates on o3 and successive models, as well as the eagerly anticipated GPT-5 release.

Nobody takes you aside anymore

Print taught a generation when to stop. What we lose when the machines absorb the constraints that used to form us.

Your AI agents need a water cooler

Coordination is a property of the room, not the org chart. What that means when your coworkers are agents.

On the death of the author and the birth of the detector

Why worrying about AI authorship is lazier, and more prejudiced, than it looks.

The work of being available now

A book on AI, judgment, and staying human at work.

The practice of work in progress

Practical essays on how work actually gets done.

How to manage content for multiple clients without flattening their voices

How to manage content for multiple clients without their voices blurring into one house style: a workspace and a voice profile per client, batchable stages, and approval buffers.

Why does AI writing sound generic? It has nothing to work with

Why does AI writing sound generic? Because the model has none of your perspective, examples, constraints, or stakes to work with. The fix is interview-first, not better adjectives.

How to train AI to write in your voice, not your vibe

How to train AI to write in your voice isn't a prompt trick. It's a system: writing samples, interview answers, keep/avoid lists, revision loops, and approval gates.

Bookmark: Sam Altman says OpenAI’s new o3 ‘reasoning’ models begin the ‘next phase’ of AI. Is this agi?

Explore how OpenAI's new o3 reasoning models could redefine AI and usher in the next phase toward Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).

Bookmark: What fully automated firms will look like

Explore how fully automated firms will revolutionize business operations with AI, optimizing talent and decision-making for unprecedented growth.

Bookmark: OpenAI’s ‘deep research’ can actually make professional reports with citations

Unlock the power of OpenAI's Deep Research to generate professional reports with citations, saving you hours on complex research tasks.