Paul Welty, PhD AI, WORK, AND STAYING HUMAN

The Future of American Jobs

The Future of American Jobs
Explore how AI and e-commerce will reshape American jobs by 2030, and discover the opportunities for workers in evolving industries.

“Nearly 12 million Americans in occupations with shrinking demand may need to switch jobs by 2030.That’s according to a new McKinsey Global Institute study that examined how the rise of AI and other factors like an aging population and e-commerce could impact US employment in the years ahead."—

Jobs at Risk That AI Will Replace, Change the Most by 2030: McKinsey


Featured writing

When your brilliant idea meets organizational reality: a survival guide

Transform your brilliant tech ideas into reality by navigating organizational challenges and overcoming hidden resistance with this essential survival guide.

Server-Side Dashboard Architecture: Why Moving Data Fetching Off the Browser Changes Everything

How choosing server-side rendering solved security, CORS, and credential management problems I didn't know I had.

AI as Coach: Transforming Professional and Continuing Education

Transform professional and continuing education with AI-driven coaching, offering personalized support, accountability, and skill mastery at scale.

Books

The Work of Being (in progress)

A book on AI, judgment, and staying human at work.

The Practice of Work (in progress)

Practical essays on how work actually gets done.

Recent writing

The bully pulpit: why AI slop only matters to people who write about AI slop

This article exposes how the 'AI moral crisis' narrative is amplified by the very people who control media—and why the 90% of workers actually using AI don't share the panic.

Why your job matters more than mine: the selective morality of job loss

This article reveals the uncomfortable pattern behind which jobs get moral protection and which get called 'market forces'—and what that means for everyone outside the creative class.

AI in writing: the end of a professional monopoly

This article reframes the AI writing debate: the panic isn't about creativity—it's about a professional class losing control of the systems they've gatekept for a century.

Notes and related thinking

Productivity and offices

Discover why traditional offices boost productivity and remain essential despite the rise of remote work. Uncover the truth behind workplace effectiveness.

The Challenges of Remote Collaboration

Discover effective strategies to overcome the unique challenges of remote collaboration and enhance teamwork from home.

The Impact of AI on White-Collar Jobs

Explore how AI transforms white-collar jobs, highlighting the balance between automation and the enduring value of skilled human work.